Comments for Stop The Spirit Of Zossen The Imperial City And The World Wed, 27 Jul 2016 09:31:01 +0000 hourly 1 Comment on Shareef: ‘What r U wearing now?’ Cambone: ‘Hey ! Get off my drone. I’m telling Rummy!’ by TimHandley Wed, 27 Jul 2016 09:31:01 +0000 Great Share! 🙂

Everybody seems to be in love with drones these days. These flying robots controlled by a remote controller are used for fun and entertainment all over the world. Designed like a quad copter, with or without a camera, these machines look amazing and offer powerful functionality to the user.
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Comment on Thoughts On Boston’s Crisis, The New Tribalism And Participatory Meaning by Dr Leo Strauss Sat, 09 Jul 2016 13:10:43 +0000 Dallas, Orlando, Paris prove this post’s point. et al. now catching on.

Comment on A Day In The Life Of Covert Technical Support by Logan Wilson Tue, 07 Jun 2016 07:51:44 +0000 In the top ten of my favourite content pieces, thanks!

Comment on A Glimpse Of Future Now by Dr Leo Strauss Mon, 25 Apr 2016 17:05:53 +0000 With the recent fires and explosions it’s adding new vibrancy, no doubt. Definitely bonne chance to Montreal.

Comment on A Glimpse Of Future Now by Sam Lowry Mon, 25 Apr 2016 15:30:04 +0000 Sounds like things have gotten worse for DC Metro since 2011- Metro sank into crisis despite decades of warnings. Kind of fascinating history and how it has been a multi-decade debacle in the making. I had good luck last summer on the rides I took (the escalators even worked!) but I suppose that was an anomaly.

I did read that Montreal has an ambitious plan to expand their public transportation train system by about 67km. By 2020 no less. Bonne chance, Montreal! If they get a line to the airport and across the river into Brossard, that would be a huge improvement.

Comment on A Question Asked Everywhere From Moscow To Tehran by Dr Leo Strauss Tue, 22 Mar 2016 00:51:46 +0000 Putin, Patrushev and Ivanov decided to pull out the strike package and troops without achieving their broader goals. Russia did solidify Assad but lacked the resources (and strategic desire) to do more; hence the surprise to Tehran and leaving Assad abruptly. Putin decided not to get drawn into a wider quagmire outside his control.

We both agree Russian assets in place are sufficient to deter a NFZ without Putin’s approval. The West and Turkey eschewed a NFZ for over 4 years, making it more precautionary.

Putin could always re-introduce forces but the regime’s domestic political costs would be non-trivial.

Comment on A Question Asked Everywhere From Moscow To Tehran by Alex Mon, 21 Mar 2016 22:38:11 +0000 Tactically, while their air and their SAMs are present, there can’t be a NFZ unless either they consent to it, or we’re willing to risk war with Russia. Similarly, Western (or any other) air operations are constrained by a) the counterair threat but more importantly by b) the necessity of deconfliction. If you have to deconflict the daily ATO (not the Ukrainian kind, the other kind, but the other kind is an anti-terrorist operation…so confusing:-))with someone, that someone has a veto over your operations (and of course full insight into targeting).

Operationally, this meant a rapid power projection into Syria which they exploited to improve Assad’s position on the ground.

Strategically, this means they have a veto over most kinds of coercive action against Assad (or conceivably any other actor in Syria they find it expedient to protect), and scenarios in which he falls without an international intervention have been pushed back by joint land-air action. In that sense, establishing some IADS coverage there essentially lets them provide extended-deterrence. As far as anyone knows (and Bellingcat will surely tell us as soon as the next lot of commercial satellite imagery shows up), the TELARs are still there, and of course the aircraft could deploy back at any time.

That they’ve done their thing, declared victory, and got out will tend to validate them in this strategic raiding mode (kind of Gwyn Prins or UK SDRs passim, also reminiscent of the French down to Mali). It’s a dear do, though, power projection…

Comment on Clooney’s ‘The American’: We Saw It So You Don’t Have To (Slightly Revised) by John Watson Mon, 29 Feb 2016 07:07:07 +0000 I couldn’t have said it better!

Comment on Putin Intervenes In Syria: Can He Avoid Zugzwang? by DrLeoStrauss Wed, 18 Nov 2015 03:07:07 +0000 Events moving fast after Paris massacre:

Putin reportedly privately pushing Assad to leave, preparing a possible removal of a major obstacle to transitioning to a political settlement. Just one report. (Kerry’s Vienna process roadmap another story).

Moscow’s desire to come out of the cold at least tangible. The military alliance Moscow sought is potentially within sight, if not the Yalta 2.0.

Here’s how Lukyanov sees/spins things (in English) after Paris:

Will Obama, Rice and the politically desperate Hollande adhere to the larger strategic issue of Russian revanchism or settle for the mere transactional (as advocated by Kissinger’s ghostwriters and others)? This month’s later meetings among Obama, Hollande and then Hollande avec Putin will be instructive.

But it bears repeating: Russia for all the PR has not changed much militarily on the ground for Assad. This assessment seems about right:

Comment on Putin Intervenes In Syria: Can He Avoid Zugzwang? by Dr Leo Strauss Wed, 30 Sep 2015 17:54:44 +0000 Your take is mine, too. Nice to see you, thanks for the kind words. Took a sabbatical for a bit here. Great to be back.